Our MLB betting picks are a hit

About Our MLB Betting Picks

Our MLB betting picks are driven by computer models that analyze thousands of data points on every matchup, including team stats and starting pitchers.

The models project all MLB games against the money line, over/under (totals) line, and run line, and include confidence odds or a value score for each play.

Over the past two seasons (2015 and 2016), our 2- and 3-star rated MLB over/under picks went 176-133-17 (57%) against game-day lines from Pinnacle Sports, and we publish detailed prediction accuracy reports that track pick performance.

The picks below represent our most recent opinions based on current betting lines, the results of our computer prediction models, and analysis of other relevant game information. We assign each “TR Pick” an overall confidence rating of 1 to 5 stars. Picks are subject to change until game time based on new information, and before using this information we strongly encourage all users to read more about our methods:

Day Status TR Pick Game Confidence Odds Similar Games Decision Tree
4/20 Wrong 931 Over 8.0 Kansas City at Detroit 50.7% Under 68.2% Under 54.4%
4/20 Wrong 915 Under 8.5 Toronto at NY Yankees 50.1% Under 57.9% Under 55.3%
4/20 Wrong 901 Over 8.0 Pittsburgh at Philadelphia 50.8% Under 58.7% Over 52.2%
4/20 Right 917 Under 7.5 Cleveland at Baltimore 51.5% Under 53.4% Under 65.0%
4/20 Wrong 921 Under 7.5 Minnesota at Tampa Bay 51.7% Under 52.6% Under 53.8%
4/20 Wrong 919 Over 8.0 Kansas City at Detroit 51.5% Under 66.3% Over 51.1%
4/20 Right 903 Over 7.5 NY Mets at Atlanta 51.3% Under 51.9% Over 57.5%
4/20 Wrong 923 Over 9.0 Seattle at Texas 50.1% Under 54.6% Under 62.7%
4/20 Wrong 905 Over 9.0 Miami at Milwaukee 51.2% Over 50.4% Over 56.6%
4/20 Wrong 925 Under 8.0 Houston at Chi Sox 50.2% Under 58.8% Under 56.8%
4/20 Right 907 Under 8.5 Cincinnati at St. Louis 50.3% Under 53.5% Over 60.5%
4/20 Wrong 909 Under 10.0 Chi Cubs at Colorado 50.3% Under 52.8% Over 50.3%
4/20 Right 911 Under 8.5 San Diego at Arizona 50.1% Under 50.4% Over 55.4%
4/20 Wrong 927 Under 9.0 Boston at Oakland 51.4% Over 54.0% Under 52.8%
4/20 Wrong 929 Under 8.5 SF Giants at LA Angels 50.7% Over 57.0% Over 55.3%
4/20 Wrong 913 Under 6.0 Washington at LA Dodgers 51.0% Under 60.7% Under 50.9%