Rankings & Projections Summary

Highlights from our predictive power ratings and simulations of currently scheduled games.

Rank Rating Team Proj W Proj L NCAA Bid Champ
1 25.3
Duke (16-2)
26.7 4.3 100.0% 26.3%
2 23.0
Virginia (17-1)
26.2 3.8 100.0% 15.1%
3 22.5
Gonzaga (18-2)
28.2 2.8 100.0% 12.4%
4 21.9
26.2 4.8 100.0% 11.3%
5 20.3
N Carolina (15-4)
23.5 7.5 99.9% 6.0%
6 19.9
Tennessee (16-1)
26.9 4.1 100.0% 6.6%
7 17.4
Kansas (16-3)
23.7 7.3 100.0% 2.7%
8 17.3
Kentucky (15-3)
23.6 7.4 99.4% 2.3%
9 17.0
Michigan (18-1)
25.2 5.8 99.2% 1.9%
10 16.9
Auburn (13-5)
22.0 9.0 93.7% 1.7%
11 16.5
Purdue (12-6)
20.3 10.7 94.0% 1.3%
12 16.5
Nevada (18-1)
28.6 2.4 99.4% 1.5%
13 16.2
Nebraska (13-6)
20.4 10.6 60.3% 0.8%
14 16.0
VA Tech (15-3)
22.2 7.8 85.8% 1.0%
15 15.9
Iowa State (14-5)
21.6 9.4 91.0% 1.0%
16 15.4
Wisconsin (12-6)
19.8 11.2 82.0% 0.7%
17 15.3
Texas Tech (15-4)
22.5 8.5 88.2% 0.8%
18 14.9
Villanova (15-4)
23.4 7.6 99.1% 0.8%
19 14.5
Louisville (13-5)
19.9 11.1 92.5% 0.6%
20 14.4
NC State (15-3)
22.4 8.6 36.4% 0.3%
21 14.0
Maryland (16-4)
22.0 9.0 94.8% 0.4%
22 13.7 20.8 10.2 68.6% 0.3%
23 13.6
Florida (11-7)
18.1 12.9 49.8% 0.2%
24 13.5
Florida St (14-5)
21.3 9.7 72.8% 0.3%
25 13.4
Iowa (16-3)
22.4 8.6 73.3% 0.2%
26 13.3
Oklahoma (13-5)
20.3 10.7 76.7% 0.3%
27 13.2
Buffalo (17-2)
27.0 4.0 99.6% 0.4%
28 13.1
Cincinnati (16-3)
24.2 6.8 94.9% 0.3%
29 13.1
Marquette (16-3)
23.4 7.6 96.5% 0.3%
30 13.1
Miss State (14-4)
21.4 9.6 84.3% 0.3%
31 12.9
Indiana (12-7)
18.3 12.7 35.9% 0.1%
32 12.6
Houston (18-1)
26.8 4.2 98.5% 0.3%
33 12.5
Ohio State (12-5)
18.8 12.2 31.5% 0.1%
34 12.4
Syracuse (13-5)
19.2 11.8 54.7% 0.1%
35 12.4
LSU (14-3)
21.8 9.2 88.9% 0.2%

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